Best Actress (predicted 5)
Sandra Bullock - The Blind Side
As much as I want to doubt it, her Golden Globe and SAG win means that this is catching on. I guess she is due, anyway, and might even spoil the Oscar (and I do mean spoil).
Helen Mirren - The Last Station
A respected actress who is bound to stir up that European base that recently has been shown to be very powerful for certain films (i.e. The Reader).
Carey Mulligan - An Education
While her buzz has been dying significantly, she’s still a pretty good bet for a nomination as the young new talent with a brilliant career ahead.
Gabourey Sidibe - Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire
She’s a breakthrough star in an emotionally invested role. Her charm and powerful performance is enough to get her into the top five.
Meryl Streep - Julie & Julia
It’s a popular performance in a popular movie. Besides, Streep doesn’t need help getting nominated for this thing.
Alt.
Abbie Cornish - Bright Star
Even though she’s been absent throughout pretty much all the precursors, this is still a performance that a lot of people have passion and admiration for. I could certainly see a situation where she sneaks by Mirren, or even Sidibe. I’m not sure how likely that is, but I see it as a strong possibility for her as a surprise nominee.
Best Actor (Predicted 5)
Jeff Bridges - Crazy Heart
He is slowly emerging as the man to beat in this race, and he just might finally get that prize.
George Clooney - Up in the Air
He delivers another trademark Clooney performance, and this time it works in a well favored film for the Best Picture lineup.
Colin Firth - A Single Man
The buzz isn’t what it used to be at Venice, but he’s still got a lot of respect and admiration. Plus, he’s never been nominated before.
Morgan Freeman - Invictus
It’s a role that Freeman was born to play. As such a great actor in a respected part, it’ll be hard for the Academy to not nominated him.
Jeremy Renner - The Hurt Locker
He’s a breakthrough actor this year, and he benefits from the momentum that his film is getting now. People really like this performance.
Alt.
Viggo Mortensen - The Road
Everyone sings praises for Mortensen when they talk about this film. However, they also sing about the mixed responses and poor financial success the film has taken in as well. Even though he’s a respected actor who could very well get in, his film on the whole is keeping him back. Not to mention, if he did get nominated, who would he replace? All the top five guys seems like locks to most, and nobody seems ready to fail. Freeman is about the only one I can see getting left behind, but even that feels unlikely. Mortensen may take it, but the odds are very much against him.
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