BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Will Win: Up
Should Win: Coraline
-With Up making it in for the Best Picture lineup, it should have no issues with taking this award. Fantastic Mr. Fox could provide a possible upset, but I don’t think it’s very likely, even though Coraline is the most deserving out of all of them.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will Win: Inglourious Basterds
Should Win: A Serious Man
-It’s a virtual coin toss between Inglourious Basterds and The Hurt Locker, but I see them wanting to give something to Tarantino, and since he’ll lose Best Director, this is all he has left. But Boal remains a major contender as well. Of these nominees, A Serious Man should win, though the glaring omission of (500) Days of Summer is simply atrocious.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will Win: Up in the Air
Should Win: Up in the Air
-Probably the only award the film will get, which is deserved, as it will recognize the film and Jason Reitman at the same time. Although a highly unlikely In the Loop upset would work for me as well.
BEST ART DIRECTION
Will Win: Avatar
Should Win: Avatar
-Avatar’s visual spectacle should take an award here, and of these nominees, I’d say it’s deserved. However, Where the Wild Things Are should have been nominated and thusly should have won.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will Win: The Young Victoria
Should Win: Bright Star
-This category has shown favor to the Victorian era costumery, but in terms of fitting into the fabric of the film (pun intended), Bright Star’s costume design were first rate.
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will Win: Avatar
Should Win: Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
-The battle of “gritty” versus “pretty” make Avatar and The Hurt Locker seem like the only threats in this category, and I think the former will take it, though Richardson’s work on Inglourious Basterds could spoil as well. Among all the nominees, Harry Potter impressed me the most, though the very-little-seen Tetro had my vote since day one.
BEST FILM EDITING
Will Win: The Hurt Locker
Should Win: The Hurt Locker
-Yet another category where my personal winner, (500) Days of Summer, is not nominated. From this selection, I would choose The Hurt Locker, and I have a pretty good suspicion the Academy will as well.
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will Win: Up
Should Win: Up
-I’ve been trying hard to think whether or not I liked Giacchino’s score to Up or Star Trek more. I lean toward the latter, but since it isn’t nominated, I’d go with Up here, and the Academy probably will also.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Will Win: “The Weary Kind” - Crazy Heart
Should Win: “The Weary Kind” - Crazy Heart
-The Golden Globe curse is finally broken, and the song that has been winning awards left and right should deservedly keep winning here.
BEST MAKEUP
Will Win: Star Trek
Should Win: Star Trek
-I simply CANNOT understand how The Young Victoria is here and District 9 is not. With two weak nominees, the obvious winner is Start Trek, even though the work on The Road should have been recognized as well.
BEST SOUND MIXING
Will Win: Avatar
Should Win: Avatar
-One more technical category for Avatar to easily take, though I wouldn’t be completely shocked if The Hurt Locker made a surprise win.
BEST SOUND EDITING
Will Win: Avatar
Should Win: Avatar
-Yet another technical category for Avatar to easily take, though, again, I wouldn’t be completely shocked by a Hurt Locker upset.
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will Win: Avatar
Should Win: Avatar
-Yet another technical category for Avatar to easily take, this time no upsets though.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will Win: The Secrets in Their Eyes
-Conventional wisdom says that The White Ribbon will win this, what with its multiple precursor wins, while others are also proclaiming the BAFTA winning Un Prophét could take it, and others are naming the Argentinean film The Secrets in Their Eyes to take it. The category is notoriously nutty, so my shot in the dark is Secrets due to a last minute surge in buzz.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Will Win: The Cove
-This has been the documentary that has gotten the most attention, and while I will concede that any of the other nominees could take it, The Cove just seems like it has the right amount of support.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Will Win: Wallace and Gromit in “A Matter of Loaf and Death”
Should Win: French Roast
-The Wallace and Gromit series has taken four of of five awards it’s been previously nominated for, and I don’t see any reason for it to miss again. However, the inventiveness of a short called French Roast won me over more.
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Will Win: The Door
Should Win: Instead of Abracadabra
-It is said that high production values are valued here. If that is the case, then the Chernobyl inspired The Door will probably take it. However, the wit and charm of the Swedish Instead of Abracadabra would get my vote.
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Will Win: The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant
-A topical title is the only reason I’m predicting it. The emotional China’s Unnatural Disaster could possibly take it as well, but honestly, your guess is as good as mine.
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