Best Actress (Predicted 5)Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
The critical darling at this point with the BFCA and NBR win on her side. She's finally getting recognized this time.
Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
She was snubbed for the SAG, but the critical status and Golden Globe win should be enough to propel her to a nomination.
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
It's difficult to say about her, since she was virtually in this same position last year for a movie that was more heavily praised than this one. Still, she's Angelina, and the role is extremely baity.
Meryl Streep - Doubt
She's Meryl Streep for God's sake! You think she'll be snubbed?
Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
It's pretty much been determined she's going to get nods for both this and The Reader. The question that remains is which one will she win the Oscar for?
Alt.
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
This is one of those performances from a smaller film that has gotten a lot of attention and acclaim. She even pulled out a SAG and Critic's Choice nomination from it. Still, I fear the film may be "too small" and the only campaign being word of mouth not enough. There is a possibility that she could pull ahead of Angelina or even Hawkins (doubt that about Sally), but recognition from her fellow actors might be the only prize she receives.
Best Actor (Predicted 5)Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Much like Leo, he's in a film that relatively small, but has been talked up for a long time to keep it afloat. I think for him, the extremely positive word of mouth is going to pay off.
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Decided to be one of the three locks in this category for a long time now. A potential spolier for the Oscar win as well.
Sean Penn - Milk
See Frank Langella.
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
If the film is going all out as a multiple Best Picture nominee, then he could benefit here. He's not safe, but he certainly proves himself a good actor here, and star power can always help.
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
See Sean Penn.
Alt.
Clint Eastwood - Gran Torino
I've always said you should never count out Clint at the Oscars. People have underestimated him before, and he managed to sweep in strong with nominations. However, even with two films this year, he's not been getting the best reviews. Still, that doesn't matter because he's Clint Eastwood with an NBR win for Best Actor. It's pretty much a coin toss between him and Jenkins, or both can get nods and leave Pitt in the dust. I'm just hoping this can be an opportunity to humble Eastwood.
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Next time I'll have Best Director.
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