Penélope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
It's a sultry performance that has gotten serious acclaim. That NBR win meant something, right? Plus, Allen has luck with this category for some reason.
Viola Davis - Doubt
Definitely the scene stealer in the movie and has the breakthrough status of the year.
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Nowhere near a lock, but it seems if Benjamin Button is going for so many awards, she could benefit from that ensemble.
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Despite a SAG snub, I think people will want to reward her for her clever turn in this movie that is picking up some serious steam.
Kate Winslet - The Reader
She's a great actress who's on her way to becoming another double nominee.
Alt.
Amy Adams - Doubt
In all honesty, she's got a very likely chance to get nominated. She pulled off a SAG and Golden Globe nomination which usually means a lock for a nomination. However, on the hierarchy of Doubt's ensemble, she's definitely at the bottom. I wouldn't be surprised if she pulls in ahead of Henson, but a feeling of mine says she might be left behind.
Best Supporting Actor (Predicted 5)
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Josh Brolin - Milk
With two years of double-whammy success, it's finally time for him to make his name heard at the Oscars, especially with another film that's a big Oscar contender.
Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
His SAG nomination proved that his campaign was no joke. One of the funniest, memorable and most controversial performances of the year will probably get recognized.
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Part of that whole ensemble cast that is just winning. Long held to be a contender here.
Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
The only question to ask here is will he and Peter Finch hold a common honor next month?
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road
He was long touted to be a serious contender, and I think he's spoken to enough people to warrant a surprise nomination. Besides, you need at east one wildcard pick.
Alt.
Dev Patel - Slumdog Millionaire
Part of me just refuses to accept him getting nominated even though he has a lot of things going for him. He's got the SAG nomination, the snowballing buzz for his film, and the status of being a young, hot new player in Hollywood. However, part of me doesn't want to acknowledge that a performance this undeserving is going to be nominated. He very well could take the easily passable Shannon, but I'm still taking the giant leap of faith that Slumdog will actually be snubbed for something.
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Next time I'll have Best Actress and Best Actor.
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